I don’t write about politics.
I don’t feel qualified. I doubt
almost all of my positions.
I hear all the time: “No one changes their mind on the
internet.”
I don’t know what they’re talking about.
I change my mind three times almost every time I scan a
twitter feed. [1][2]
Economics is REALLY hard.
Race and ethnicity and systemic inequality in our country is complex and
most attempts to fix it, explain it, or explain it away strike me as thin and naive. Global inequality and radicalized ideologies
have us engaged economically and militarily all over the world in a complex
network of intervention that I can’t believe any human can hold in her or his head
at one time. I know I can’t.
The confidence most of America takes into the voting booth
makes me feel like I’m missing something fundamental…like there is a part of my
brain that doesn’t work.
I have never, in my life, cast a vote that didn’t leave me
feeling dirty, sad, compromised, and confused.[3]
This November will be the same…with one exception.
I will walk out of that both feeling dirty, sad, and
compromised.
But I will not be confused.
This is the easiest vote I’ve ever cast.
I will be voting for Secretary Clinton. I will not be voting for Donald Trump.
I tried to reassess this choice at several points throughout
the election, which is my custom. When you are as confused about politics as I
am, you can’t trust your initial impressions.
You have to reassess. But I have
never been able to seriously consider casting a Trump vote.[4]
Now, you should not care about how I’m voting.
I am not good at this.
I offer no particular expertise or insight that makes my
political opinion valid. But as recently
as a few weeks ago, Nate Silver was giving Mr. Trump a 20-25% chance of
victory. I come from a spiritual lineage
that has a prophetic tradition.[5] I felt the need to go on the record.
Here are the four top reasons I’m not voting for Donald
Trump:
I
respect the OFFICE of the president and recognize its cultural power.
I believe in the presidency.
This may be hopelessly naive. But
I believe the office George Washington created by relinquishing does include
qualifications of decency. I have never
disqualified a major political candidate on these grounds before, and don’t
expect to again. I didn’t like
Cruz. I thought his policy was naive and
his rhetoric was dishonest[6],
but I would not disqualify him for the office.
Clinton has skeletons in her closet.
I find her policy naive[7]
and her rhetoric dishonest, but I do not disqualified her on decency
grounds.
But Donald Trump[8]
lacks trace levels of certain virtues I require for the office. Primarily, trump lacks temperance. [9] That is an old timy word, that doesn’t mean
much to most any more…but it means something to me. Temperance is the ability to self-restrain, a
basic power over impulse that allows humans to avoid rash choices.[10]
2. I
will not hand Donald Trump drones.
The last two administrations (Republican and Democrat) have
both expanded executive privilege. That
sucks. My epistemology makes me a fan of
balanced powers. But my understanding of
the current state of executive privilege (which, we have established, is flawed)
allows the Commander and Chief makes calls on drone strikes with little
oversight.
Temperance is important in an engineer, or a nurse, or a
professor, or a barista. But it is
essential…essential, for a job that comes with keys to a fleet of drones.[11][12]
3. I
find Mr. Trump’s positions on immigrants and refugees unacceptable.
No. We will not close
our country to Muslims.[13] We will not build a wall.[14] The rule of law is important and immigration
policy needs attention. But it is our Judaeo-Christian
heritage that knits hospitality into our national fabric.[15]
4. Secretary
Clinton’s will be better on sentencing reform.
In my opinion, sentencing is the biggest justice issue in
American politics.[16] Yes, Secretary Clinton was part of the
problem. But here’s the thing. She knows that. I think she’s deeply embarrassed by it. I think she would love to fix that part of
her legacy, which makes her personally incentivized to fix it. And whatever you say about the Democratic
Nominee, I wouldn’t bet against her commitment to her legacy. Mr. Trump doesn’t even seem to think we have
a sentencing problem. In fact, while
policy recommendations are scarce from his camp, I’d expect him to double down
and go “tough on crime,” exacerbating the situation.
This list could go on.
But you get the idea.
I have not said anything new.
Usually that means I don’t say anything.
I only use this space if I feel I have something unusual or insightful
or helpful, or at least quirky to add to the discussion. This is none of those things. It has all been said many times in better
ways.
But, for once, I just want to add my voice to the others, to
add a polemical vote to my constitutional one, to say that, though I hate politics,
and am deeply dissatisfied with both parties, to dismiss the current candidates
as equally flawed is a false equivalency.
Mr Trump will be far worse for our country than Secretary Clinton.[17]
One of the benefits to internal political conflict is that,
while I’m never happy on the second Wednesday of November, I’m also never
despondent. Whoever we elected has deep
and debilitating ideological and economic flaws. But they also have strengths. I try to see it as a season of those strengths.
Mr Trump lacks that upside.
I see no ideological or economic strengths and the cultural and moral
downside is unprecedented. For the first
time there is an outcome that could leave me despondent on Wednesday. So I had to say something.
This post was written while listening to The Oh Hello’s[18] Pandora Channel
[1] I
feel like twitter was built for polemics…but polemical posts on facebook always
confuse me. I know that’s an arbitrary
distinction, but I try to keep a hard wall between friendship and ideology. The
link to this post is my first political post (and hopefully will be the last). Whenever I see an aggressive polemical post
or meme I hear ”We can be friends as long as you pay an anxiety tax for my
ideology.” or “ You are important to me, but not as important as this
issue/candidate.” Or “I know you care too deeply about me to defriend me or get
off facebook, so here’s a meme mocking half the people you care about.” And since I find both liberal and conservative
politics economically and morally flawed (though not equally so), it doesn’t
matter if the post comes from my friends on the left or right.
[2] A
cleverly deceptive meme or tweet can cause me to change my mind eight times in
a minute as I try to parse truth from philosophical sleight of hand and rhetorical
fallacy…and I can’t remember a polemical meme that didn’t somehow employ one or
the other (usually both). They are the
raw materials of the trade.
[3]
Frankly, it was only Bonhoeffer’s “Ethics” that made voting a long term
psychological possibility for me.
Bonhoeffer argues that the difficult ethical situations are not choices
between good and bad, those are easy, and rare.
The difficult ethical choices are between bad and worse or good and
better. Purity religion (which we saw recently
in the largely secular Bernie vote this year) will not participate in bad-worse
decisions. But abstaining is an implicit
choice for worse. On the other hand,
those of us who follow the incarnate God, who invaded the broken earth and
soiled himself with our sin, can absorb the personal guilt that comes with
choosing the bad over the worse.
[4] I
drafted this post before the recent “incident on a bus.” That was by no means a “final straw” for
me. I hit my final straw with Trump during
the first debate. The most telling thing
about that incident was that it did not surprise me. That is where I was with this candidate.
[5] The
prophetic tradition is invoked far too often to excuse ad hominem argument and aggressive polemical diatribes, so I invoke
it cautiously. Most claims to the
prophetic tradition enjoy its proclamation component but dodge of its
evidential requirements and preoccupation with responsible content.* But it is not something I could escape in
this case.
*False prophecy carried severe penalties in the
communities that featured it, because they recognized its power.
[6]
What does it say that I no longer require honesty as a basic virtue requirement
of the office? I don’t know. Nothing good.
[7] I
only listened to a short exchange from the second debate, where they were
talking about their proposed changes to the tax code. I’m not sure if the republican or democratic
policies are more economically naïve.
Monotonic economic solutions are fallacies. If your answer to every economic question is
“put more of Americans money back in their pockets” or “tax the rich,” you are
not thinking carefully about economic policy.
Economic one-trick-ponies are not what our country needs but it’s all we
are offered…we only get to choose the trick.
The democrats will never be able to fund their vision without broad,
middle class, tax hikes. They lack the
courage to say so, so they keep running multi-generational deficits. When they say “Tax the rich” they mean “Tax
the rich…and our children.” Their
attempt to blame those who make over $1/5
million is rule-by-jealousy, a covetous based populism tapping into the
same dark impulses that gave us Trump on the other side.
But the republican solutions are not better (and may
be worse), and Trump’s particular version of them are in a fantasy world of
their very own. Dropping the marginal
tax rate to 15%??? What? Really?
Donald Trump’s economic policy may be crazier than Cruz’s. The republican offer to immediately gut
revenue shows absolutely no respect for the conservative “incremental, adaptive
changes out of respect for unintended consequences.” The current republican nominee’s economic
proposals makes the democrat fiscal policy seem measured and reasonable, which
is an accomplishment.
[8]
Every post swirling around the internet where evangelicals (yup, that’s me, the
only person I know who still claims the term…but that’s another post) or
conservatives* or, whatever I am, make their case for Trump, starts with “I
don’t like Hillary…” Well, I am certainly not a fan, but I’ve had to ask myself
why. I have carefully and repeatedly
audited my gender biases, and while, like racial biases, they are certainly
always suspect, I don’t think they are the culprit. Secretary Clinton is a 60’s liberal. I’m dubious of liberal solutions (I’m just
more dubious of republican solutions). I’m
not angry about President Obama’s administration. I just think that after 8 years of
center-left power, a center-right administration would be healthy. But if I’m going to keep voting democrat
decade after decade, I’d like to vote for someone more imaginative policy
proposals, proposals that don’t seem crafted for the Vietnam era milieu.
*Note: Yes, despite not voting for a republican for
president in decades, I consider myself a conservative for two reasons.** I am committed
to intergenerational equity (sustainability) and have deep, motivating respect
for unintended consequences, committing me to incremental adaptive management
solutions. (If those don’t seem like
conservative principles to you, you’ve confounded contemporary tea party
politics with conservative thought). But
I have not managed to convince myself to vote republican since my first
election. I’m not proud of that. Even though a pure blue voting record is how
a white man of privilege signals status in a liberal college town, it still
feels like moral failure to me. I fear
I’ve become an ideologue, an entrenched liberal voter with a monotonic policy
perspective, who cannot recognize when his country needs a conservative
correction because of cognitive hardening (and the status that comes with
liberal voting). Every election, I look
wistfully at the Republican slate, begging one of them to win my vote. The first republican primary debate (both of
them) was one of the most depressing events in this political cycle for me, and
that is saying something.
My hope for America is not that the Liberal vision
would get stronger and stronger and eventually prevail without reasonable
dissent. My hope for our country is that
the two parties would hold our policies in tension with sound, logical,
evidential arguments, and provide such compelling visions of the future that we
would have trouble choosing.
**Again, I have a draft post on this. I can’t apologize for not blogging. And, frankly, no one is asking me to. My writing time is going into talks, journal
papers, and fiction (8 shorts and 3 novels in the last three years). Also, somewhere around the time the fourth decade
odometer rolled on my life, I realized I don’t want to be an internet
personality. I like analog life. I believe in the congregational scale of human
community. But this is still a helpful
venue to try out ideas, or go on the record.
[9] I
wrote much of this before the “hot mike on a bus” incident. Obviously, those comments displayed more than
a lack of temperance, they showed a criminal level of entitlement and a
potential history of assault. But they
did not shock me, which just underlines why I have to disqualify the Republican
nominee on virtue criteria (which I have set to a pretty low bar).
[10]
This is one of the reasons I like politicians with a track record of marital
fidelity. Marital fidelity demonstrates
1) choosing against impulses to build a long term, life giving institution, 2)
delayed gratification including capacity for second stage thinking, 3) self-skepticism
and cognitive plasticity* required to parse complex ideas. Someone who can weather a rocky stretch in
their marriage without chasing a hard, young, body because they want to build
something lasting for their family seems more likely to make the hard political
choice that I need them to make, when their self-interest competes with what is
best for my family and tens of millions like it. That may seem like an unrealistic
expectation, but I expect my president to be in the upper 3% of impulse control
(and wisdom and a lot of other things for that matter). Mr Trump has demonstrated that his impulse
control is at least two standard deviations below the mean.
* I really believe that the ability to re-evaluate a
position, entertaining the possibility that there is a better way to think
about it, and to change the position when a better one is presented is the #1 marital
skill. This is an important quality in those
who wield power. Conviction is
essential, but humans all too often mistake cognitive entrenchment for
conviction.
[11] I’m
not comfortable with how Presidents Bush or Obama used drones. But I also know that their briefings must be
terrifying and that they are getting the very best advice, which I think they
take. So I give them some benefit of the
doubt. I believe they are both be
measured, descent men without penchants for vengeance or petty violence. Nothing in Mr Trump’s personal style or
rhetoric leads me to believe that about him.
[12] I
do not see a pro-life case for Trump. My
pro-life position* includes Pakistani villagers and school children in Yemen. Those lives will be affected by this
election.
*Yes, I am pro-life.
I know I’m supposed to be ashamed of this. I am not.
I do not consider it one of my conservative positions. I consider it one of my liberal positions, in
keeping with my Hebraic-Christian commitment to the rights and voices of the
powerless. But it is an incredible
difficult position as well, with many implications about gender power and class
and race and economic inequality. It
requires a nuanced, complicated conversation that I do not feel particularly
qualified to weigh in on, and at the very least requires a separate post.
[13]
When I think about the future of conservative politics in America, when I think
about what kind of coalition a conservative vision could build given our
country’s shifting demographics, it seems to me that that coalition should
focus on recruiting Muslim and Latin American immigrants. Pluralism should work both ways. Our country should benefit from conservatism
native to other cultures, a corrective to our modernist blinders. I cannot understand why the political right
isn’t openly courting Muslim immigrants.*
*Because of my interstitial political position (and,
lets be honest, my contrarian streak), I find I defend democrats in Mississippi
and republicans in California. That
means I spend more time defending republicans even though I lean democrat. For years I’ve argued that the racist component
in the party is very small and that holding them against conservative politics
is a genetic fallacy. The 50% “basket of
deplorable” thing was reprehensible. But
my estimate was also naive…I underestimated the racially motivated republican voting
block by like an order of magnitude.
[14] I’m not
going to call him a “racist” or a “bigot,” even though I think, for once, those
words fit. I think one of the things this election showed is that we have
expanded the semantic range of these words so far that they’ve lost their
power. If everyone is a “bigot” then
maybe it’s not that bad. If Bush’s
response to Katrina was “racist,” well then we’ve already had a racist
president, the precedent is set, what’s wrong with another one? I have another post drafted on this, which,
like most of my posts never saw the light of day. But the ad
hominem chickens have come home to roost.
The internet warriors who deputized themselves the conscience of
everyone who sees the world more complexly than they do, who have tried to
shame us out of our cognitive dissonance by calling us racist or bigots, have
gutted some of our culture’s most powerful words. Now we need those words to name the thing
before us. But they’ve been used up.
[15] There
is a lot of talk about how the Christian Scriptures weigh in on either side of
every political debate. Most of this
talk is hermeneutically thin. (For
example, the scriptures vehemently calls Yahwehists to be outrageously generous
to the poor. This in no way justifies
raising the marginal tax rate.* Arguing that it does conflates taxes with
generosity.) But I think there are two visions
of “State” that are translatable from the Hebrew theocracy to our secular
democracy: 1) insistence on just courts that do not have class or ethnic bias
and 2) hospitality to refugees.
*Note: I support raising the marginal tax rates (also capital
gains, but that is much more problematic given the propensity for that money to
leave the US) and not just for the rich.
My family is single income in one of the most expensive housing markets
in the US but we are still upper middle class.
We do not pay enough tax in my opinion.
Neither President Obama nor Secretary Clinton have the courage to hold
the middle class accountable for our share of the liberal vision. So I believe that the marginal tax rates
should return to something like Reagan levels (which are much higher than Obama
era levels). But, arguing that position
based on Isaiah or Ezekiel’s or especially Jesus’ call to care for the poor claims
spiritual authority for a pragmatic economic calculation, that may be false
based on reams of confounding data and drivers.
It is illicit.
[16] I
don’t mean to minimize police reform and am not suggesting both conversations
aren’t worth having…it just seems to me that sentencing has broader effects and
is easier to fix.*** But I am white, and
have never feared a police officer in this country or been pulled over unless I’d
actually committed a traffic infraction, so my confidence in that opinion is low.
***Here’s a shocking revelation. I have a draft post on this, centered largely
around my experience with an extended jury service.
[17] Which
is why I won’t be voting for a third party candidate. I understand the impulse and respect it. But back to my Bonhoffer-ian ethic, if I
oppose Trump this strongly, I need to make the move most likely to defeat him,
even if it makes me feel dirty. If I
vote third party and he wins, I’m complicit.
I cannot escape the math into a safe cocoon of ideological purity. Voting third party and then complaining about
the outcome strikes me the same way as European countries that rely on US
military intervention and then criticize us for it.
[18]
Who are delightful, and should be, in no way, associated with the content of
this post.